NOTE: This webtool is a prototype. Please provide feedback to sidfex@polarprediction.net

About SIDFEx

The Sea Ice Drift Forecast Experiment (SIDFEx) is a community effort to collect and analyse Arctic sea-ice drift forecasts at lead times from days to a year. The forecasts are made with various methods for drifting sea-ice buoys and, ultimately, the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC), a year-long trans-Arctic drift campaign commencing in autumn 2019. SIDFEx is part of the World Meteorological Organization’s Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) and inspired by increasing research and operational needs to forecast future positions of assets drifting in Arctic sea ice. A systematic assessment of real drift forecasting capabilities is also foreseen to improve our physical understanding of sea ice and to help identifying and resolving model shortcomings. Since the launch of SIDFEx in 2017, 14 groups have started contributing drift forecasts for selected buoys of the International Arctic Buoy Program (IABP) on a regular basis. Most groups derive their daily-to-seasonal forecasts by means of diagnostic Lagrangian tracking based on prediction drift fields of coupled or uncoupled general circulation models. Some groups submit ensembles of drift trajectories instead of single (deterministic) trajectories, and several groups submit their forecasts in (near-)real-time.

To learn more about SIDFEx, please visit our website.

About this site

This site is a webtool that allows you to:
  1. Get an overview on the current set of SIDFEx targets, including their past movements and their status (tab Observations).
  2. Explore the past forecasts and how they performed in comparison with obversations (tab Browse forecast archive).
  3. Retrieve (near-)real-time forecasts for the currently active SIDFEx targets (tab Most recent forecasts).

Acknowledgement

This site is based on R-Shiny and the SIDFEx R-package.

The coordination and implementation of SIDFEx and this webtool has been led by the research group Seamless Sea Ice Prediction (SSIP), which is funded by the German Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF).

Statistics

297026 forecasts
14 groups
30 methods
109 targets






Imprint

Privacy Notice:

Dear visitors of the SIDFEx webtool, hosted by the Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI).
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Am Handelshafen 12
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Oh Buoy!
This is an overview of the current positions of the SIDFEx targets. The coloured lines show the trajectories of the buoys and the circle indicates their latest position. You can choose between three different zoom options and by clicking the Download button you can save the generated plot as a pdf.

The table below lists all SIDFEx targets, their status, latest positions, and the time periods over which they have been considered as SIDFEx targets, based on the SIDFEx target table.






Here you can explore the past SIDFEx forecasts and how they performed in comparison to the observations. Please note that the speed-angle and error plots are neither available for fixed targets (TargetIDs starting with 'FIXED...') nor if you select more than one target at a time.
to
Here you can retrieve (near-)real-time forecasts for the currently active SIDFEx targets. Select a target, a target time (i.e. a time for which you want to get a drift forecast) and choose whether you want to shift and rotate the forecast trajectory to the latest known observed position (highly recommended for „operational“ use). Details for a particular forecast system/method can be obtained by clicking on one of the table rows; plots of the corresponding trajectories as well as time series of longitude and latitude appear next to the table. The default target time is (now + 24h). Note that the plots might need a few seconds to appear for larger ensembles or target times far into the future.